Paul Ryan, Anti-Poverty Warrior

On Saturday, the Wall Street Journal review section gave Rep. Ryan a chance to offer his opinion about the proper policy to fight property.  Brilliantly, Mr. Ryan put his finger on the key problem: the teachers’ union.  Who else has done so much to reinforce poverty than those dastardly teachers?

Questions regarding Gov. Brown’s multi-billion Twin-Tunnels Water Project

Is it not true that virtually every large public works project suffers from serious cost overruns?  Will the ballot initiative inform voters about the actual probable costs of this project?

 

Is it not true that the first Governor Brown, Jerry’s father Pat, constructed the first California Water Project with the understanding that large recipients of water would repay the state for the costs of delivering water?  Is it not true that they reneged on that promise?  Will the greatest recipients of water really pay their fair share this time?  Without some certainty, should the ballot initiative reflect the risk that the state will not be able to collect adequate repayments for its water?

 

Without guarantees of adequate repayments, should the ballot initiative reflect the risks?  For example, in light of the first reneging of the payment obligations, the state had to turn to other sources of funding.  It took money from the Tidelands Oil Fund to cover the failed promised payments, which required the California State system and the University of California system to initiate tuition hikes, which set off decades of spiraling tuition.

Does it make sense to send the water to the Central Valley to grow crops that would be unprofitable without huge federal payments and subsidized water?  For example, cotton is not particularly suited for semi-arid land.  Besides, such federal and state subsidies seem to violate trade agreements such as the WTO and NAFTA.

 

Could one make the case that importing cotton from Africa, where farmers have trouble competing with highly subsidized American growers, might help to stabilize parts of the continent, which would reduce the incentives for continually increasing the costly level of the US government’s military entanglements in that part of the world?  Might cutting back on subsidized cotton production in the Central Valley be the first step in reducing military involvement in Africa?

 

Such a suggestion might admittedly seem to be a stretch but it serves as a reminder that the consequences of such a huge undertaking as the twin tunnels will have significant unintended consequences that will be unlikely to be presented to the voters in a ballot initiative.

 

The questions disregard a much larger question regarding the need to conserve water supplies, both locally and statewide.

 

Beijing Paper: Constant Capital, Accumulation, Sustainability, and Economic Theory

I would appreciate any comments about a paper I will present in Beijing.  I hope that the title describes the content.

beijing

Pity the 1%; The Ressurection of Ayn Rand

With the popularity of Vampire culture, you will certainly appreciate this over the top call to give back to the 1%.

 

 

http://www.forbes.com/sites/harrybinswanger/2013/09/17/give-back-yes-its-time-for-the-99-to-give-back-to-the-1/

Standing on Principle

I am continually amazed by the rhetorical use of principle and probability.  States’ rights are a perfect example.  To begin with, this concept first evolved as a tactic to protect the rights of slave owners, hardly a noble objective.  Since then, it has become almost synonymous with freedom.  States should have the right to determine who can and cannot get married.  The federal government has no business sticking its nose into such matters.  On the other hand, states’ right to legislate on marijuana use is routinely overruled.  Similarly, states’ right to control business abuses, such as the spreading of pollution, are routinely overruled by Congress, including strong upholders of states’ rights.

The probability of somebody being injured by a consumer product or an industrial process, such as fracking, are typically dismissed out of hand.  On the other hand, protection against terrorism is treated differently.  Richard Cheney offers an excellent example of that approach: “If there’s a one percent chance that Pakistani scientists are helping al Qaeda build or develop a nuclear weapon, we have to treat it as if it is a certainty in terms of our response,” Cheney said.”  Of course, the kind of actions that Cheney proposed greatly increase the probability of terrorism, which might be desirable in the sense that it offers a welcome pretext to build up the bureaucratic powers justified by such threats.

Appeals to probability are especially interesting because of the ease with which measures of likelihood can be easily manipulated.  Here is one of my favorite examples concerns Richard Thaler’s measure of the value of a statistical life, a measure that Thaler soon realized was a wildly underestimated.  This underestimation, meant that the cost-benefit analysis of workers’ protection was far more likely to prove unfavorable.  Here is a snippet from my Invisible Handcuffs book to show how creatively such analysis could be applied:

 “John D. Graham, a fervent opponent of regulation, who became President George W. Bush’s head of the Office of Management and Budget’s Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs, even went so far as to claim that spending money on regulations instead of vaccinating children is tantamount to “statistical murder.”   Ironically, I know of no case when the anti-regulators came out in support of any program to actually vaccinate children, perhaps preferring to be able to recycle vaccination as a straw man to wield against all regulation.”

How Greedy Workers’ Pensions Destroy the Economy, Or Not.

Let’s begin with one of these greedy workers.  Or maybe he was one of the people who fret about the workers’ pensions?

Maremont, Mark. 2013. “For McKesson’s CEO, A Pension of $159 Million.” Wall Street Journal (25 June): p. B 1.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887323998604578565491579124154.html

“Executive pension plans sometimes grow to a hefty size, amounting to tens of millions of dollars, as extra retirement cushions for long-serving CEOs.”

“Then there’s the record $159 million pension benefit of John Hammergren, the current chairman and CEO of drug distributor McKesson Corp. MCK –0.93% That’s how much he would have received in a lump-sum payment had he voluntarily departed on March 31, McKesson disclosed in its annual proxy filing on Friday.”

“Compensation consultants say it’s by far the largest pension on file for a current executive of a public company, and almost certainly the largest ever in corporate America. It’s also more than double the value of the 54-year-old Mr. Hammergren’s pension six years ago.

“Mr. Hammergren has been at McKesson for 17 years, 12 of them as sole CEO, so he is significantly younger and has a shorter tenure than most other executives who have accumulated large pensions.”

“A giant pension plan was at the heart of a controversy a decade ago over the pay package of Richard Grasso, former chairman of the New York Stock Exchange. An outside investigation found that Mr. Grasso had amassed pension benefits with a lump-sum value of $126 million.”

My mistake.  He was probably one of those who groused about workers’ pensions

Or How About the Big Money People who Handle their Pensions?

Braun, Martin Z. and Chris Christoff. 2013. “Detroit’s Pension Funds Dogged by Bad Deals.” Bloomberg Businessweek (28 July): pp. 42-44.

http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2013-07-25/detroits-pension-funds-dogged-by-bad-deals

They detail how the Detroit pension plans have lost more than $10 million on each of several deals with shady characters.

California also got snookered by similar crooks.

Apologies regarding Muscular Christianity, Eugenics, War, Football, and Imperialism

I do now know why my attachment did not work with the blog.

I have posted a link here:

 http://www.csuchico.edu/~mperelman/foot.pdf

 

Muscular Christianity, Eugenics, War, Football, and Imperialism

In the late nineteenth century, a fear about the softness of American society raised doubts about the capacity of the United States to carry out its imperial destiny.  This problem was associated with the final settlement of the frontier.  As important as the development of open space was to the expansion of the territory of the United States, the completion of the continental expansion brought an attendant fear that traditional masculinity was on the wane and would bring about a withering of the individual and the national body.  This fear spread to the church as well, where the result was thought to be a moral softening (Miller 2011, p. 38).  To make matters worse, waves of immigrants from Southern and Eastern Europe were flooding American cities with foreign cultures.  This concern became so pressing that talk of “race suicide” became common.

Here is the complete section:

http://www.csuchico.edu/~mperelman/foot.pdf

Is Obama falling into a trap that he set for himself

The Sarin WMD red line rhetoric together with the news that Iran is supposed to be sending troops to Syria might open the door to the long-desired war with those evil-doers.

 
I fear that he will not back off his warlike rhetoric as easily as his vague progressive promises when he ran for office.

Wall Street Journal exposition of Marx’s Theory of Crises

Overcapacity Fuel Costs Hit Shipping – WSJ

This article parallels the analysis that I used in Railroading Economics to analyze the Great Depression of the late 19th century.  Overcapacity and new technology combine to force companies to invest in technologies that have even greater economies of scale with the effect that they swamp the market even more.

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